8.1 Null and Alternative Hypotheses
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
- Define the null and alternative hypotheses.
- State the null and alternative hypotheses in a particular situation.
A hypothesis test begins by considering two hypotheses. They are called the null hypothesis and the alternative hypothesis. These hypotheses contain opposing viewpoints and only one of these hypotheses is true. The hypothesis test determines which hypothesis is most likely true.
- The null hypothesis is denoted [latex]H_0[/latex]. It is a statement about the population that either is believed to be true or is used to put forth an argument unless it can be shown to be incorrect beyond a reasonable doubt.
- The null hypothesis is a claim that a population parameter equals some value. For example, [latex]H_0:\mu=5[/latex].
- The alternative hypothesis is denoted [latex]H_a[/latex]. It is a claim about the population that is contradictory to the null hypothesis and is what we conclude is true if we reject [latex]H_0[/latex].
- The alternative hypothesis is a claim that a population parameter is greater than, less than, or not equal to some value. For example, [latex]H_a:\mu>5[/latex], [latex]H_a:\mu<5[/latex], or [latex]H_a:\mu\neq 5[/latex]. The form of the alternative hypothesis depends on the wording of the hypothesis test.
- An alternative notation for [latex]H_a[/latex] is [latex]H_1[/latex].
Because the null and alternative hypotheses are contradictory, we must examine the evidence to decide if we have enough evidence to reject the null hypothesis or not reject the null hypothesis. In statistics, the evidence is in the form of sample data. The sample data will either support the claim that the null hypothesis is true or will be strong enough to support the claim of the alternative hypothesis. After we have determined which hypothesis the sample data supports, we make a decision about the validity of the null hypothesis. There are two options for the decision. They are “reject [latex]H_0[/latex]” if the sample information favours the alternative hypothesis or “do not reject [latex]H_0[/latex]” if the sample information is insufficient to reject the null hypothesis.
EXAMPLE
A candidate in a local election claims that [latex]30\%[/latex] of registered voters voted in a recent election. Information provided by the returning office suggests that the percentage is higher than the [latex]30\%[/latex] claimed.
Solution
The parameter under study is the proportion of registered voters, so we use [latex]p[/latex] in the statements of the hypotheses. The hypotheses are
[latex]\begin{eqnarray*}H_0:&&p=30\%\\\\H_a:&&p\gt 30\%\\\\\end{eqnarray*}[/latex]
NOTES
- The null hypothesis [latex]H_0[/latex] is the claim that the proportion of registered voters that voted equals [latex]30\%[/latex].
- The alternative hypothesis [latex]H_a[/latex] is the claim that the proportion of registered voters that voted is greater than (i.e. higher) than [latex]30\%[/latex].
TRY IT
A medical researcher believes that a new medicine reduces cholesterol by [latex]25\%[/latex]. A medical trial suggests that the percent reduction is different than claimed. State the null and alternative hypotheses.
Click to see Solution
[latex]\begin{eqnarray*}H_0:&&p=25\%\\\\H_a:&&p\neq 25\%\end{eqnarray*}[/latex]
EXAMPLE
We want to test whether the mean GPA of students in the nation’s colleges is different from [latex]2.0[/latex] (out of [latex]4.0[/latex]). State the null and alternative hypotheses.
Solution
[latex]\begin{eqnarray*}H_0:&&\mu=2\text{ points}\\\\H_a:&&\mu\neq 2\text{ points}\end{eqnarray*}[/latex]
EXAMPLE
We want to test whether or not the mean height of eighth graders is [latex]165[/latex] cm. State the null and alternative hypotheses.
Solution
[latex]\begin{eqnarray*}H_0:&&\mu=165\text{ cm}\\\\H_a:&&\mu\neq 165\text{ cm}\end{eqnarray*}[/latex]
EXAMPLE
We want to test if college students take less than five years to graduate from college, on average. What are the null and alternative hypotheses?
Solution
[latex]\begin{eqnarray*}H_0:&&\mu=5\text{ years}\\\\H_a:&&\mu\lt 5\text{ years}\end{eqnarray*}[/latex]
TRY IT
We want to test if it takes fewer than [latex]45[/latex] minutes to teach a lesson plan. State the null and alternative hypotheses.
Click to see Solution
[latex]\begin{eqnarray*}H_0:&&\mu=45\text{ minutes}\\\\H_a:&&\mu\lt 45\text{ minutes}\end{eqnarray*}[/latex]
EXAMPLE
In an issue of U.S. News and World Report, an article on school standards stated that about half of all students in France, Germany, and Israel take advanced placement exams. The same article stated that [latex]6.6\%[/latex] of U.S. students take advanced placement exams. Test if the percentage of U.S. students who take advanced placement exams is more than [latex]6.6\%[/latex]. State the null and alternative hypotheses.
Solution
[latex]\begin{eqnarray*}H_0:&&p=6.6\%\\\\H_a:&&p\gt 6.6\%\end{eqnarray*}[/latex]
TRY IT
On a state driver’s test, about [latex]40\%[/latex] pass the test on the first try. We want to test if more than [latex]40\%[/latex] pass on the first try. State the null and alternative hypotheses.
Click to see Solution
[latex]\begin{eqnarray*}H_0:&&p=40\%\\\\H_a:&&p\gt 40\%\end{eqnarray*}[/latex]
Exercises
- You are testing that the mean speed of your cable Internet connection is more than three Megabits per second. State the null and alternative hypotheses.
Click to see Answer
[latex]\begin{eqnarray*}H_0:&&\mu=3\text{ megabits per second}\\\\H_a:&&\mu\gt 3\text{ megabits per second}\end{eqnarray*}[/latex]
- The mean entry-level salary of an employee at a company is [latex]\$58,000[/latex]. You believe it is higher for IT professionals in the company. State the null and alternative hypotheses.
Click to see Answer
[latex]\begin{eqnarray*}H_0:&&\mu=\$58,000\\\\H_a:&&\mu\gt\$58,000\end{eqnarray*}[/latex]
- A sociologist claims the probability that a person picked at random in Times Square in New York City is visiting the area is [latex]83\%[/latex]. You want to test to see if the claim is correct. State the null and alternative hypotheses.
Click to see Answer
[latex]\begin{eqnarray*}H_0:&&p=83\%\\\\H_a:&&p\neq 83\%\end{eqnarray*}[/latex]
- In a population of fish, approximately [latex]42\%[/latex] are female. A test is conducted to see if, in fact, the proportion is less. State the null and alternative hypotheses.
Click to see Answer
[latex]\begin{eqnarray*}H_0:&&p=42\%\\\\H_a:&&p\lt 42\%\end{eqnarray*}[/latex]
- Suppose that a recent article stated that the mean time spent in jail by a first–time convicted burglar is [latex]2.5[/latex] years. A study was then done to see if the mean time has increased in the new century. If you were conducting a hypothesis test to determine if the mean length of jail time has increased, what would the null and alternative hypotheses be?
Click to see Answer
[latex]\begin{eqnarray*}H_0:&&\mu=2.5\text{ years}\\\\H_a:&&\mu\gt 2.5\text{ years}\end{eqnarray*}[/latex]
- If you were conducting a hypothesis test to determine if the population mean time on death row could likely be [latex]15[/latex] years, what would the null and alternative hypotheses be?
Click to see Answer
[latex]\begin{eqnarray*}H_0:&&\mu=15\text{ years}\\\\H_a:&&\mu\gt 15\text{ years}\end{eqnarray*}[/latex]
- The National Institute of Mental Health published an article stating that in any one-year period, approximately [latex]9.5\%[/latex] of American adults suffer from depression or a depressive illness. If you were conducting a hypothesis test to determine if the true proportion of people in that town suffering from depression or a depressive illness is lower than the percent in the general adult American population, what would the null and alternative hypotheses be?
Click to see Answer
[latex]\begin{eqnarray*}H_0:&&p=9.5\%\\\\H_a:&&p\lt 9.5\%\end{eqnarray*}[/latex]
- Previously, an organization reported that teenagers spent [latex]4.5[/latex] hours per week, on average, on the phone. The organization thinks that, currently, the mean is higher. State the null and alternative hypotheses.
Click to see Answer
[latex]\begin{eqnarray*}H_0:&&\mu=4.5\text{ hours per week}\\\\H_a:&&\mu\gt 4.5\text{ hours per week}\end{eqnarray*}[/latex]
“8.2 Null and Alternative Hypotheses” and “8.9 Exercises” from Introduction to Statistics by Valerie Watts is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 4.0 International License, except where otherwise noted.